The Production Gap
The discrepancy between countries’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C
The Production Gap Report addresses the necessary winding down of the world’s production of fossil fuels in order to meet climate goals.
Key Findings
Governments are planning to produce about 50% more fossil fuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting warming to 2°C and 120% more than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C.
This global production gap is even larger than the already-significant global emissions gap, due to minimal policy attention on curbing fossil fuel production.
The continued expansion of fossil fuel production — and the widening of the global production gap — is underpinned by a combination of ambitious national plans, government subsidies to producers, and other forms of public finance.
Several governments have already adopted policies to restrict fossil fuel production, providing momentum and important lessons for broader adoption.
International cooperation plays a central role in winding down fossil fuel production.